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David Brooks’ new Op-Ed reveals something I need to remember : Don’t Panic. The sick sadists leading the media charge for the right wing seem bigger and more powerful than they actually are. Brooks cites their failure to rally support for their 2008 candidates Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney, and against John McCain and Mike Huckabee. McCain won, and Rush Limbaugh’s ‘mighty army’ didn’t do much. They didn’t do much when Limbaugh asked them to vote for Clinton in the primary to bloody Obama up. Brooks compares their power to that of the “Wizard of Oz.” It hope he is right, and his column seems very reasonable. The problem comes when policy and strategy match a media-constructed fallacy. If it can make governing impossible, and it looks like it can, it doesn’t matter if its a sleight of hand.
An excerpt below:
Over the years, I have asked many politicians what happens when Limbaugh and his colleagues attack. The story is always the same. Hundreds of calls come in. The receptionists are miserable. But the numbers back home do not move. There is no effect on the favorability rating or the re-election prospects. In the media world, he is a giant. In the real world, he’s not.
But this is not merely a story of weakness. It is a story of resilience. For no matter how often their hollowness is exposed, the jocks still reweave the myth of their own power. They still ride the airwaves claiming to speak for millions. They still confuse listeners with voters. And they are aided in this endeavor by their enablers. They are enabled by cynical Democrats, who love to claim that Rush Limbaugh controls the G.O.P. They are enabled by lazy pundits who find it easier to argue with showmen than with people whose opinions are based on knowledge. They are enabled by the slightly educated snobs who believe that Glenn Beck really is the voice of Middle America.
So the myth returns. Just months after the election and the humiliation, everyone is again convinced that Limbaugh, Beck, Hannity and the rest possess real power. And the saddest thing is that even Republican politicians come to believe it. They mistake media for reality. They pre-emptively surrender to armies that don’t exist.
They pay more attention to Rush’s imaginary millions than to the real voters down the street. The Republican Party is unpopular because it’s more interested in pleasing Rush’s ghosts than actual people. The party is leaderless right now because nobody has the guts to step outside the rigid parameters enforced by the radio jocks and create a new party identity. The party is losing because it has adopted a radio entertainer’s niche-building strategy, while abandoning the politician’s coalition-building strategy.
The rise of Beck, Hannity, Bill O’Reilly and the rest has correlated almost perfectly with the decline of the G.O.P. But it’s not because the talk jocks have real power. It’s because they have illusory power, because Republicans hear the media mythology and fall for it every time.
Via Nytimes, hat tip to Diana B

This is one of those “this is water” things. The talk radio listeners most of the time don’t have that big of an influence. The most these guys can do is direct the conversation, but in the end they don’t win the message wars because most americans can only tolerate that talk for 6-9 month stretches ever 4 years.
Some times I think Brooks ads much needed sensibility to conservatism and sometimes I think he’s a weenie; this is the former.